
Demand for housing still outstripping supply in many U.S. markets
The Associated Press
Updated: 3:57 p.m. ET Sept. 27, 2005
NEW YORK
- Everything about Frank Fazio’s new two-bedroom apartment on
Manhattan’s Upper West Side is decidedly average, including its price:
a hair under $1 million.
With
five rooms and about 1,050 square feet of space, the place is a nice
size, by New York standards, but it is no mansion. There are no
chandeliers, no soaring cathedral ceilings and no doorman downstairs to
help with groceries.
"There
is nothing that would make you say, 'Wow this place must have cost a
million bucks,'" said Fazio, 42, a banker who relocated from Chicago.
Yet pay a million he did, something more Americans are doing these days.
For the
first time, there are more than 1 million owner-occupied homes in the
United States worth $1 million or more, according to a Census Bureau
survey published late last month.
Once a
symbol of unusual wealth, million-dollar dwellings now seem like a dime
a dozen in some places. San Francisco alone has more than 20,000 of
them. There are another 46,000, or so, in Orange County, Calif.
In
Manhattan, even someone with a million dollars in their pocket can't
buy luxury. The average price for an apartment in all but Harlem and
the borough’s northern tip climbed above $1.2 million in the second
quarter of 2005, said Gregory Heym, chief economist for Terra Holdings,
an owner of real estate brokerages in the city.
"For a million dollars, you couldn’t get a two-bedroom on the East Side," Heym said.
The
surge in high-end prices has happened quickly. The Census Bureau’s 2004
American Community Survey found 1,034,386 homes worth at least $1
million in 2004, compared to 595,441 in 2002 and only 394,878 in 2000.
Demand
for housing is still outstripping supply in many U.S. markets, said
John M. Clapp, a professor of finance and real estate at the University
of Connecticut. Low interest rates have made it easier for people to
afford more house, as have some new financing methods, like
interest-only adjustable mortgages, which initially allow buyers to
lower their monthly payments.
Even in land-rich cities like Phoenix, the demand for housing in mature neighborhoods has outstripped supply.
In a few
exclusive communities, $1 million won’t buy you more than “an acre of
dirt,” said Kristy Ryan, a broker at Re/Max Fine Properties in
Scottsdale.
In other
parts of town, $1 million is still enough to build a 4,000-square-foot
villa with a pool and a three-car garage, but Ryan noted that the same
house might have sold for $700,000 just five years ago.
"Some
people are disappointed when they get here," she said of the
northerners who continue to arrive in droves. "They don’t realize how
much it has appreciated in the last few years."
How will homeowners fare?
Federal
Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has warned that housing prices in some
markets have been driven to “unsustainable levels,” and some homeowners
have borrowed heavily against their homes’ equity to fuel their
consumer spending. If mortgage rates rise, that spending will have to
drop and homeowners will be forced to save, Greenspan said in a speech
to a bankers group Monday. But he added that homeowners on average have
enough equity to absorb the hit if home values drop.
The
losers in this hot market, Clapp said, are people buying a home for the
first time. At current interest rates, the monthly payment on an
$800,000 mortgage is about $4,700 a month. The financial hit is
especially bad in places like New York, where the city’s many
condominiums and co-ops require monthly maintenance fees that often
exceed $1,000 a month.
“I think they are stretched to the limit at this point,” Clapp said. “In some markets, renting makes more sense.”
Real
estate has become so hot that the boom has spread to neighborhoods
formerly written off by many investors as hopelessly impoverished.
Urban success story
In
Bedford Stuyvesant, the section of Brooklyn that was the setting for
Spike Lee’s 1989 film, “Do the Right Thing,” some owners were asking
more than $950,000 this week for their brownstones.
The
prospect that a neighborhood that experienced rioting in the 1960s and
a crack epidemic in the late 1980s would fetch such high prices now is
both an urban success story, and potentially dismaying, said Richard
Weeks, an agent at Coldwell Banker Mid Plaza Real Estate.
If a working-class family can’t afford a home in Bed Stuyvesant, he asked, just where can they buy?
“As an
African American, I worry about it,” said Weeks, whose listings include
a limestone town house in a fast-gentrifying section of the
neighborhood, priced at $975,000. “It is definitely going to become
harder for the people who aren’t well off to purchase there.”
If
prices stop rising, other potential losers could be speculative
investors who were counting on a quick resale of a home at a profit to
pay back debt. Economists have split over whether the rise in housing
prices constitutes a bubble that could burst at any time.
“In the long run, things have to come back into equilibrium,” Clapp said.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2005